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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+2.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+1.76vs Predicted
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42.31+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+4.12vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09+3.73vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.35+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.57-2.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.28-2.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.57-1.52vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.31vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.18-1.71vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-2.77vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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2.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.3%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.042.310.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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9.73Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.0%1st Place
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8.66Bentley University0.350.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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8.69Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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12.82University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 21.6% | 24.3% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 30.6% | 22.5% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 13.3% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 7.2% |
| Sarah Alix | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Palardy | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Preston Anderson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Colin Snow | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 10.4% |
| Maeve Glancy | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 9.2% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.