← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+2.89vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.02+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+1.85vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.14+1.02vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University0.61+1.15vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.71-2.25vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College0.80-1.37vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23+2.21vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut-1.01+0.86vs Predicted
-
10Olin College of Engineering-0.65-0.93vs Predicted
-
11Bentley University-0.13-3.24vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-1.61-0.98vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.2%1st Place
-
3.16University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
-
4.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
-
5.02Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
-
6.15Harvard University0.610.1%1st Place
-
3.75Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
-
5.63Bowdoin College0.800.1%1st Place
-
10.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.86University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
-
9.07Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
-
7.76Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
11.02University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
-
10.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 16.8% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 24.4% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lindsay | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Dickey | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 17.2% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hattie Slayton | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elle Bukosky | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 17.9% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 14.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% |
| Dane Phippen | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| David Swan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 33.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 22.5% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.