← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+2.86vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.71+1.72vs Predicted
-
3Olin College of Engineering-0.65+6.21vs Predicted
-
4University of Connecticut-1.01+5.90vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College0.80+0.62vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23+4.21vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University0.61-0.92vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-3.22vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.02-5.80vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+0.49vs Predicted
-
11Bentley University-0.13-3.18vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.14-6.94vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-1.61-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.2%1st Place
-
3.72Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
-
9.21Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
-
5.62Bowdoin College0.800.1%1st Place
-
10.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
-
6.08Harvard University0.610.1%1st Place
-
4.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
-
3.2University of Rhode Island2.020.3%1st Place
-
10.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.82Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
5.06Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
-
11.05University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 17.1% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 17.9% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 7.1% |
| Colby Brennan | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 12.9% |
| Hattie Slayton | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Elle Bukosky | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 18.0% |
| Matthew Dickey | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lindsay | 9.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 25.2% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 25.1% |
| Dane Phippen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Lera Anders | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Swan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.