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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+2.92vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+2.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.80+2.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.71-0.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.14-0.16vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.61+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.61+3.88vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.02-4.88vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23+1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.01-0.16vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.65-2.06vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.13-3.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.2%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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5.8Bowdoin College0.800.1%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.17Harvard University0.610.1%1st Place
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10.88University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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10.26University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.94Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.04Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 17.4% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lindsay | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hattie Slayton | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 17.9% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dickey | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| David Swan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 22.2% | 32.5% |
| Kylie Castellano | 24.3% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Bukosky | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 20.2% |
| Colby Brennan | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.