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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.14+3.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.71+1.75vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.65+6.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-0.12vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.61+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.02-2.85vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.13+0.81vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-3.21vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.01+0.85vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.80-4.27vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.61-0.15vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23-1.64vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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9.17Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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3.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.2%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University0.610.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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7.81Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.73Bowdoin College0.800.1%1st Place
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10.85University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
| Alex Abate | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dickey | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kylie Castellano | 23.7% | 23.3% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Charles Lindsay | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 15.3% |
| Hattie Slayton | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| David Swan | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 28.8% |
| Elle Bukosky | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 20.7% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.