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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+2.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.71+0.78vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.14+0.98vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.13+2.78vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.80-0.34vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-2.28vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.65+0.03vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.61-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23-0.73vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.01-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.61-1.93vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.2%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.78Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.66Bowdoin College0.800.1%1st Place
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4.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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9.03Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University0.610.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.07University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 23.2% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Abate | 16.9% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 18.0% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Dane Phippen | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Hattie Slayton | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lindsay | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Dickey | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elle Bukosky | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 19.3% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
| David Swan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 35.6% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.