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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio University-0.15+1.25vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.53+2.23vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.51+0.26vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.16-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.64-3.04vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.15-1.83vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.44-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Ohio University-0.150.4%1st Place
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4.23Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.26Ohio State University-1.510.1%1st Place
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3.67Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Notre Dame-0.640.2%1st Place
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5.17Miami University-2.150.1%1st Place
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5.47Western Michigan University-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Maude | 40.1% | 24.3% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Eva Rossell | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 10.0% |
| Avery Lawrence | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 11.3% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 13.9% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Christian Green | 19.8% | 26.8% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Susannah Schroeder | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 23.9% | 29.6% |
| Cassidy Chalut | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.