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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.99+3.50vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.02+2.54vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.62+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.79-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.70+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.28+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-0.40+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.34-2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.34-4.06vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.65-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.54Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.36Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.03University of Victoria1.790.2%1st Place
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5.13University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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6.04University of British Columbia0.280.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Victoria0.340.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Reeves | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Waldron | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 21.2% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 24.3% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elisha Allen | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Sean Fleming | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| Samuel Maritz | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 27.7% | 16.1% |
| Aaron Scull | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 3.5% |
| Evan Medsger | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 4.0% |
| Kyle Kubler | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 14.8% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.