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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.64+1.58vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.16+1.19vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.53-0.35vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.15-3.01vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.41-1.24vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.44-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Notre Dame-0.640.2%1st Place
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3.19Hope College-1.160.2%1st Place
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3.65Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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1.99Ohio University-0.150.4%1st Place
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4.76Ohio State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.82Western Michigan University-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Green | 25.0% | 28.0% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 16.0% | 18.6% | 23.0% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 5.3% |
| Eva Rossell | 10.6% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 26.6% | 22.5% | 9.3% |
| Nick Maude | 41.5% | 29.8% | 19.2% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Wise | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 28.3% | 39.4% |
| Cassidy Chalut | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.