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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.64+1.86vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.53+1.98vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.15-0.84vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.16-0.50vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.97-2.62vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.44-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Notre Dame-0.640.2%1st Place
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3.98Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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2.16Ohio University-0.150.4%1st Place
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3.5Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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3.38Ohio State University-0.970.1%1st Place
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5.12Western Michigan University-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Green | 21.1% | 25.2% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
| Eva Rossell | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 25.7% | 19.0% |
| Nick Maude | 39.6% | 25.4% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 13.9% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 7.9% |
| Martin Moore | 13.6% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 9.4% |
| Cassidy Chalut | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.