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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.53+2.65vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-0.15+0.02vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.44+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.64-1.46vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.16-2.74vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.41-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Michigan State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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2.02Ohio University-0.150.4%1st Place
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4.75Western Michigan University-2.440.0%1st Place
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2.54University of Notre Dame-0.640.2%1st Place
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3.26Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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4.78Ohio State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Rossell | 11.1% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 24.2% | 21.2% | 11.3% |
| Nick Maude | 42.2% | 29.3% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Cassidy Chalut | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 27.9% | 40.1% |
| Christian Green | 24.6% | 28.0% | 24.1% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 14.5% | 18.3% | 22.8% | 22.5% | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Emily Wise | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 28.1% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.