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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.62+2.30vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.99+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.79+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.70+1.18vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.02-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.28+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.34-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.34-3.11vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.40-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-1.65-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.58Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Victoria1.790.2%1st Place
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5.18University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.04University of British Columbia0.280.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Victoria0.340.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 24.2% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Reeves | 11.2% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Robert Berry | 24.8% | 21.7% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elisha Allen | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Waldron | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Sean Fleming | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 5.6% |
| Aaron Scull | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 3.9% |
| Evan Medsger | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 3.7% |
| Samuel Maritz | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 29.8% | 14.6% |
| Kyle Kubler | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 13.8% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.