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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio University-0.79+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.04+0.49vs Predicted
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4Hope College-2.74+1.02vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.30-0.62vs Predicted
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6Miami University-3.13-0.46vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.99-3.16vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.49-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Ohio University-0.790.4%1st Place
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2.49University of Notre Dame-1.040.3%1st Place
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5.02Hope College-2.740.1%1st Place
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4.38Ohio State University-2.300.1%1st Place
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5.54Miami University-3.130.0%1st Place
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3.84Michigan State University-1.990.1%1st Place
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4.49Western Michigan University-2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siri Schantz | 38.3% | 26.0% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| James Kennedy | 27.1% | 31.1% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Conor Burns | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 26.1% |
| Alexander Kiraly | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 10.9% |
| Ryan Sarver | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 41.5% |
| Teddy Prokop | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 6.6% |
| Austin miller | 8.0% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.