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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.80+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.04+0.73vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.79-0.58vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.49+0.56vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.80-2.13vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.74-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Ohio State University-0.800.3%1st Place
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2.73University of Notre Dame-1.040.3%1st Place
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2.42Ohio University-0.790.3%1st Place
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4.56Western Michigan University-2.490.1%1st Place
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3.87Michigan State University-1.800.1%1st Place
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4.9Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| natalie dugan | 27.1% | 28.3% | 21.9% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| James Kennedy | 25.3% | 23.5% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| Siri Schantz | 30.0% | 26.7% | 22.3% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Austin miller | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 29.4% | 32.3% |
| Hosni Berker | 8.7% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 21.8% | 16.0% |
| Conor Burns | 3.4% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 26.0% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.