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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.04+1.46vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-0.79+0.13vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.80+0.36vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.30-0.95vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.74-1.33vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.49-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of Notre Dame-1.040.3%1st Place
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2.13Ohio University-0.790.4%1st Place
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3.36Michigan State University-1.800.1%1st Place
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4.05Ohio State University-2.300.1%1st Place
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4.67Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
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4.33Western Michigan University-2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kennedy | 27.7% | 29.0% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Siri Schantz | 41.2% | 25.7% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Hosni Berker | 13.1% | 17.7% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 7.0% |
| Alexander Kiraly | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 24.5% | 20.6% |
| Conor Burns | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 40.1% |
| Austin miller | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 24.5% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.