Race 11B

west-canada-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Reeves 12.4% 12.9% 12.7% 13.2% 12.8% 11.8% 11.1% 7.1% 5.1% 0.9%
Ashley Vincent 21.8% 19.9% 16.5% 14.7% 11.5% 7.6% 4.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Robert Berry 25.5% 20.1% 17.9% 14.6% 10.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Alex Waldron 10.9% 13.5% 14.5% 12.2% 14.6% 13.3% 8.7% 7.8% 3.7% 0.8%
Evan Medsger 6.4% 7.9% 7.4% 8.3% 9.3% 12.3% 15.8% 15.7% 12.1% 4.8%
Elisha Allen 9.5% 8.6% 10.8% 11.9% 12.5% 13.5% 12.1% 12.4% 7.3% 1.4%
Sean Fleming 3.9% 6.6% 7.6% 10.0% 10.4% 11.6% 15.1% 16.7% 13.6% 4.5%
Aaron Scull 5.4% 7.1% 8.1% 9.5% 10.0% 11.7% 15.6% 15.5% 13.4% 3.7%
Samuel Maritz 3.2% 2.5% 3.9% 4.4% 6.0% 9.2% 10.4% 15.4% 30.1% 14.9%
Kyle Kubler 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 5.5% 13.7% 68.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.