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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.80+1.46vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.99+1.93vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.49+1.54vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.79-1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.04-2.20vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.74-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Ohio State University-0.800.3%1st Place
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3.93Michigan State University-1.990.1%1st Place
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4.54Western Michigan University-2.490.1%1st Place
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2.42Ohio University-0.790.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Notre Dame-1.040.2%1st Place
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4.85Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| natalie dugan | 29.5% | 27.5% | 20.8% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Teddy Prokop | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 23.7% | 24.2% | 16.5% |
| Austin miller | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 27.9% | 33.4% |
| Siri Schantz | 29.9% | 25.4% | 25.1% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| James Kennedy | 21.8% | 25.5% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 10.5% | 3.3% |
| Conor Burns | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 24.6% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.