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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester0.95+0.66vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.55+1.21vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+0.04vs Predicted
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4Mercyhurst University-2.33+1.26vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.41-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-0.45-3.94vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-1.37vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-5.79-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Rochester0.950.6%1st Place
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3.21Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.04Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.26Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.34Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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3.06University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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6.63Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
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7.8Penn State Behrend-5.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McKinney | 55.1% | 29.2% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 12.0% | 18.5% | 26.6% | 26.0% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 14.5% | 22.0% | 25.6% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Schneider | 1.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 28.2% | 35.7% | 13.4% | 1.2% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 28.5% | 39.0% | 13.6% | 1.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 14.0% | 21.9% | 24.9% | 25.7% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shane Parker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 6.4% | 14.1% | 62.9% | 11.3% |
| Benjamin Uberti | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 9.4% | 86.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.