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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester0.95+0.67vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+1.00vs Predicted
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3Mercyhurst University-2.33+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.91vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.55-1.78vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-2.41-1.67vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-1.37vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-5.79-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67University of Rochester0.950.6%1st Place
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3.0Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.24Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.22Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.33Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.63Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
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7.81Penn State Behrend-5.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McKinney | 56.8% | 26.1% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 13.6% | 23.5% | 26.3% | 24.5% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Schneider | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 26.5% | 38.0% | 12.9% | 0.7% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 12.9% | 22.1% | 25.0% | 25.9% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 11.5% | 20.9% | 23.8% | 25.4% | 14.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 28.4% | 37.2% | 14.6% | 0.9% |
| Shane Parker | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 6.9% | 15.1% | 61.9% | 11.5% |
| Benjamin Uberti | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 10.0% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.