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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester0.95+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh-0.45+1.07vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+0.03vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.55-0.81vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.41+0.35vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.75vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-1.37vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-5.79-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Rochester0.950.6%1st Place
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3.07University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.03Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.19Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.35Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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5.25Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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6.63Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
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7.81Penn State Behrend-5.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McKinney | 56.7% | 26.6% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 12.4% | 22.0% | 28.2% | 23.4% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 14.0% | 23.3% | 25.8% | 22.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 11.8% | 21.2% | 22.2% | 29.3% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 26.8% | 40.1% | 13.5% | 1.1% |
| Robert Schneider | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 30.0% | 35.7% | 13.1% | 0.7% |
| Shane Parker | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 62.8% | 11.4% |
| Benjamin Uberti | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 10.0% | 86.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.