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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+2.01vs Predicted
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2Mercyhurst University-2.33+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.95-1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.93vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.55-1.77vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-2.41-1.67vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-1.37vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-5.79-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.29Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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1.64University of Rochester0.950.6%1st Place
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3.07University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.23Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.33Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.63Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
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7.8Penn State Behrend-5.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Manney | 13.9% | 23.5% | 26.1% | 23.8% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Schneider | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 29.8% | 36.3% | 13.6% | 1.3% |
| Scott McKinney | 57.6% | 26.4% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 13.1% | 21.9% | 26.5% | 24.8% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 10.7% | 21.0% | 24.7% | 26.4% | 12.8% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 27.8% | 37.9% | 14.2% | 0.7% |
| Shane Parker | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 15.3% | 61.9% | 11.3% |
| Benjamin Uberti | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 9.3% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.