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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester0.95+0.65vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.45+0.12vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.41+1.47vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.55-1.78vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-0.09vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-4.23-0.75vs Predicted
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9Mercyhurst University-2.33-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65University of Rochester0.950.6%1st Place
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3.03Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.47Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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3.22Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.91Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
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7.25Penn State Behrend-4.230.0%1st Place
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5.36Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McKinney | 57.6% | 26.2% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 14.2% | 22.1% | 27.8% | 21.6% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 13.3% | 20.4% | 26.2% | 25.0% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 1.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 23.5% | 36.3% | 16.7% | 4.3% |
| Niall Shannon | 11.8% | 20.9% | 23.2% | 26.9% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shane Parker | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 14.6% | 39.6% | 35.1% |
| Nicholas Sova | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 26.4% | 57.3% |
| Robert Schneider | 1.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 29.8% | 31.2% | 16.1% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.