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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester0.95+0.69vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+1.08vs Predicted
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3Mercyhurst University-2.33+2.55vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.55-0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.45-1.81vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.41-0.35vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.76-1.91vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-4.23-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69University of Rochester0.950.6%1st Place
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3.08Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.55Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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3.29Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.65Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.09Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.760.0%1st Place
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7.45Penn State Behrend-4.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McKinney | 56.2% | 26.2% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 13.3% | 23.1% | 26.2% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Schneider | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 20.5% | 28.8% | 22.9% | 7.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 11.7% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 25.8% | 14.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 13.0% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 24.1% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 21.4% | 29.1% | 24.4% | 7.2% |
| Nolan Grimes | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 13.9% | 24.4% | 35.5% | 13.2% |
| Nicholas Sova | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.