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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester0.95+0.68vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.55+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.45+0.14vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.88vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.41+0.66vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.76-0.90vs Predicted
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8Mercyhurst University-2.33-2.41vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-4.23-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68University of Rochester0.950.6%1st Place
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3.26Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.66Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.1Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.760.0%1st Place
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5.59Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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7.46Penn State Behrend-4.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McKinney | 55.7% | 26.9% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 11.6% | 19.6% | 25.3% | 25.1% | 13.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 13.4% | 22.5% | 24.4% | 22.3% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 13.8% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 27.0% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 21.9% | 29.0% | 25.2% | 6.9% |
| Nolan Grimes | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 16.4% | 24.1% | 33.8% | 13.9% |
| Robert Schneider | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 20.6% | 29.7% | 23.6% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Sova | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 14.8% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.