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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.55+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester0.95-0.30vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.45+0.15vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.88vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.33+0.57vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.41-0.33vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.76-0.89vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-4.23-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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1.7University of Rochester0.950.5%1st Place
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3.15University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.57Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.67Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.760.0%1st Place
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7.48Penn State Behrend-4.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Shannon | 12.7% | 22.2% | 22.6% | 23.4% | 13.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKinney | 53.8% | 28.3% | 13.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 14.0% | 19.8% | 26.3% | 23.5% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 13.8% | 20.9% | 25.2% | 24.6% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Schneider | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 24.2% | 27.8% | 23.9% | 5.6% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 23.0% | 28.3% | 24.2% | 7.7% |
| Nolan Grimes | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 25.8% | 34.2% | 14.0% |
| Nicholas Sova | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 15.2% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.