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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Waldron 13.2% 13.5% 12.3% 13.6% 11.9% 11.9% 11.3% 7.3% 4.1% 0.9%
Ashley Vincent 23.4% 17.4% 18.7% 14.3% 10.9% 7.3% 4.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Ian Reeves 10.6% 12.6% 10.9% 11.8% 16.0% 15.3% 9.9% 7.8% 4.1% 1.0%
Aaron Scull 5.2% 5.5% 9.2% 10.5% 10.7% 10.5% 17.5% 13.9% 12.8% 4.2%
Robert Berry 25.8% 23.9% 17.3% 13.1% 9.4% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Elisha Allen 9.1% 9.6% 10.1% 11.5% 13.7% 12.2% 11.8% 13.7% 7.1% 1.2%
Evan Medsger 4.0% 6.6% 9.6% 8.8% 10.6% 12.9% 15.1% 16.0% 12.2% 4.2%
Sean Fleming 4.9% 7.3% 7.4% 9.5% 9.6% 12.4% 14.0% 15.8% 15.0% 4.1%
Samuel Maritz 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 5.3% 5.2% 9.3% 10.2% 15.3% 30.3% 14.7%
Kyle Kubler 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 3.3% 2.9% 5.8% 12.7% 69.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.