← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.17+4.88vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.10+1.93vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.87+3.77vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.59+0.56vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.12+0.92vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.07-2.10vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.41-0.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami1.64-3.06vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.19-0.69vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.73-3.38vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University0.72-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.88Eckerd College1.178.2%1st Place
-
3.93Jacksonville University2.1018.6%1st Place
-
6.77Clemson University0.876.0%1st Place
-
4.56Old Dominion University1.5912.2%1st Place
-
5.92North Carolina State University1.127.7%1st Place
-
3.9College of Charleston2.0718.6%1st Place
-
6.95Rollins College0.415.9%1st Place
-
4.94University of Miami1.6411.9%1st Place
-
8.31The Citadel0.193.1%1st Place
-
6.62Christopher Newport University0.735.3%1st Place
-
8.23Hampton University0.722.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Vieira | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
Owen Bannasch | 18.6% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
Diogo Silva | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Benjamin Usher | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 18.6% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Hilton Kamps | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
Steven Hardee | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 30.6% |
Joshua Bendura | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% |
Stefano Palamara | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.