← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jordan Vieira 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 10.2% 9.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.5% 9.6% 8.7% 4.5%
Owen Bannasch 18.6% 16.7% 14.3% 13.4% 11.6% 9.6% 6.2% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Mitchell Hnatt 6.0% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 11.8% 13.1% 13.1% 11.3% 9.8%
Diogo Silva 12.2% 14.1% 15.1% 12.6% 10.5% 10.4% 9.4% 7.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9%
Benjamin Usher 7.7% 7.7% 8.9% 9.3% 11.1% 11.0% 10.6% 10.9% 9.8% 8.6% 4.2%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 18.6% 17.1% 15.0% 13.0% 11.1% 9.2% 6.6% 5.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Hilton Kamps 5.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 8.3% 8.7% 9.4% 10.5% 14.1% 13.5% 11.8%
Steven Hardee 11.9% 11.9% 10.8% 13.1% 10.3% 11.5% 10.5% 8.2% 6.2% 3.9% 1.8%
Kenneth Buck 3.1% 2.8% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 6.2% 7.2% 8.9% 11.2% 17.5% 30.6%
Joshua Bendura 5.3% 6.2% 6.8% 8.1% 10.1% 8.9% 10.0% 12.2% 11.9% 12.4% 8.1%
Stefano Palamara 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.0% 4.9% 5.8% 7.2% 9.5% 12.8% 18.1% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.