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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+2.36vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.18-0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.33-0.42vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.98-0.57vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.18-0.34vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.45-0.53vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-4.99-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.1%1st Place
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2.19Syracuse University-0.160.3%1st Place
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2.2University of Rochester-0.180.3%1st Place
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3.58University of Pittsburgh-1.330.1%1st Place
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4.43Mercyhurst University-1.980.1%1st Place
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5.66Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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7.47Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.450.0%1st Place
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7.11Penn State Behrend-4.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Tindall | 12.6% | 16.4% | 24.4% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 34.6% | 31.3% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bartholomew Skala | 34.8% | 29.9% | 21.3% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nicolia | 10.6% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 25.7% | 22.1% | 6.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Hoover | 5.1% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 24.4% | 31.1% | 20.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Hayley Schultz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 17.8% | 51.1% | 16.5% | 2.2% |
| Roman Quinn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 5.3% | 27.9% | 63.4% |
| Marcus Murphy | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 9.3% | 52.0% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.