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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.18+0.23vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.16-0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.33-0.40vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-3.18+0.67vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-1.98-1.63vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.45-0.53vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-4.99-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Rochester-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.17Syracuse University-0.160.4%1st Place
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3.6University of Pittsburgh-1.330.1%1st Place
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5.67Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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4.37Mercyhurst University-1.980.1%1st Place
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7.47Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.450.0%1st Place
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7.12Penn State Behrend-4.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Tindall | 12.6% | 15.3% | 24.7% | 24.0% | 17.9% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bartholomew Skala | 33.1% | 31.4% | 20.7% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 36.1% | 29.5% | 20.0% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nicolia | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 26.3% | 22.0% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Schultz | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 15.3% | 52.9% | 16.4% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Hoover | 6.1% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 22.5% | 32.5% | 19.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Roman Quinn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 26.5% | 63.8% |
| Marcus Murphy | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 8.7% | 53.0% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.