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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.16+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.31+0.34vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+0.38vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.98-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.33-2.40vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.18-1.38vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-4.99-0.86vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.45-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Syracuse University-0.160.4%1st Place
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2.34University of Rochester-0.310.3%1st Place
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3.38Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.1%1st Place
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4.38Mercyhurst University-1.980.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Pittsburgh-1.330.1%1st Place
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5.62Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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7.14Penn State Behrend-4.990.0%1st Place
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7.43Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 38.4% | 30.0% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 30.1% | 30.2% | 21.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 13.1% | 14.5% | 24.2% | 24.8% | 17.3% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hoover | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 32.6% | 19.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Noah Nicolia | 10.2% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 24.4% | 21.1% | 8.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Schultz | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 18.0% | 50.1% | 16.3% | 2.2% |
| Marcus Murphy | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 9.5% | 45.5% | 40.3% |
| Roman Quinn | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 33.8% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.