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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.16+1.13vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.31-0.68vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-3.18+1.68vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.98-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.33-2.46vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-4.99-0.84vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.45-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Syracuse University-0.160.4%1st Place
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3.39Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.1%1st Place
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2.32University of Rochester-0.310.3%1st Place
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5.68Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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4.36Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
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3.54University of Pittsburgh-1.330.1%1st Place
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7.16Penn State Behrend-4.990.0%1st Place
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7.42Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 39.1% | 28.4% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 12.1% | 15.4% | 24.5% | 24.1% | 17.7% | 6.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 30.4% | 31.0% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Schultz | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 53.0% | 16.9% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Hoover | 4.8% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 35.6% | 18.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nicolia | 11.8% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 25.5% | 20.9% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Murphy | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 8.7% | 46.4% | 40.3% |
| Roman Quinn | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 5.6% | 33.5% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.