← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University-0.16+1.10vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.25vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester-0.18-0.88vs Predicted
-
4Mercyhurst University-2.73+1.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Pittsburgh-1.33-1.51vs Predicted
-
7Penn State University-3.18-1.52vs Predicted
-
8Penn State Behrend-4.99-0.89vs Predicted
-
9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.45-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.1Syracuse University-0.160.4%1st Place
-
3.25Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.1%1st Place
-
2.12University of Rochester-0.180.4%1st Place
-
5.06Mercyhurst University-2.730.0%1st Place
-
3.49University of Pittsburgh-1.330.1%1st Place
-
5.48Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
-
7.11Penn State Behrend-4.990.0%1st Place
-
7.4Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 39.2% | 28.7% | 18.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 12.3% | 16.0% | 27.2% | 26.7% | 14.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bartholomew Skala | 35.3% | 32.1% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gretchen Evan | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 33.9% | 32.7% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| Noah Nicolia | 9.1% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 30.9% | 16.2% | 5.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Schultz | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 25.1% | 42.2% | 14.4% | 2.2% |
| Marcus Murphy | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 9.9% | 43.7% | 40.0% |
| Roman Quinn | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 33.0% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.