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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-0.18+1.13vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+0.14vs Predicted
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3Mercyhurst University-2.73+2.02vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.33-2.54vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.18-1.52vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-4.99-0.90vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.45-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Rochester-0.180.4%1st Place
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2.14Syracuse University-0.160.4%1st Place
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5.02Mercyhurst University-2.730.0%1st Place
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3.28Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Pittsburgh-1.330.1%1st Place
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5.48Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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7.1Penn State Behrend-4.990.0%1st Place
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7.39Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartholomew Skala | 37.2% | 30.5% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 35.5% | 30.9% | 20.4% | 10.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gretchen Evan | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 32.5% | 31.7% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Elliot Tindall | 11.9% | 16.3% | 25.5% | 28.6% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nicolia | 10.1% | 14.6% | 23.8% | 28.2% | 17.6% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Schultz | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 24.3% | 43.3% | 14.4% | 2.0% |
| Marcus Murphy | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 43.6% | 39.9% |
| Roman Quinn | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 6.4% | 32.3% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.