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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+2.22vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.31-0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.33-0.58vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.18-0.49vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-2.73-1.99vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-4.99-0.91vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.45-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.1%1st Place
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2.1Syracuse University-0.160.4%1st Place
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2.24University of Rochester-0.310.3%1st Place
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3.42University of Pittsburgh-1.330.1%1st Place
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5.51Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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5.01Mercyhurst University-2.730.0%1st Place
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7.09Penn State Behrend-4.990.0%1st Place
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7.4Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Tindall | 13.8% | 16.6% | 26.5% | 24.4% | 14.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 36.9% | 31.2% | 19.9% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 32.7% | 30.1% | 21.7% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nicolia | 11.3% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 31.1% | 15.5% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Schultz | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 23.9% | 44.2% | 15.2% | 1.7% |
| Gretchen Evan | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 14.5% | 33.5% | 31.3% | 7.7% | 0.9% |
| Marcus Murphy | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 42.7% | 40.3% |
| Roman Quinn | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 33.3% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.