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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-0.18+1.21vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.49vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.16-0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.33-0.27vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-2.25-1.04vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-2.77-1.39vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.45-0.25vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-3.18-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Rochester-0.180.4%1st Place
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3.49Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.1%1st Place
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2.21Syracuse University-0.160.3%1st Place
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3.73University of Pittsburgh-1.330.1%1st Place
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4.96Mercyhurst University-2.250.0%1st Place
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5.61Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
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7.75Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.450.0%1st Place
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6.04Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartholomew Skala | 36.3% | 28.4% | 19.1% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 12.1% | 14.4% | 24.7% | 22.4% | 15.9% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 34.2% | 31.1% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nicolia | 9.6% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 26.1% | 18.6% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Murray | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 25.5% | 24.5% | 16.1% | 1.0% |
| Michael Dobransky | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 19.4% | 26.8% | 30.2% | 4.0% |
| Roman Quinn | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 88.3% |
| Hayley Schultz | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 12.0% | 25.6% | 42.3% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.