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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.99vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.87+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+1.94vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+1.73vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59-0.21vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.41+1.15vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.07-3.26vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.73-1.20vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19-0.69vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.72-1.92vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.12-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Jacksonville University2.1018.4%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University0.876.8%1st Place
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4.94University of Miami1.6411.5%1st Place
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5.73Eckerd College1.177.3%1st Place
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4.79Old Dominion University1.5912.1%1st Place
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7.15Rollins College0.415.2%1st Place
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3.74College of Charleston2.0719.0%1st Place
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6.8Christopher Newport University0.735.3%1st Place
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8.31The Citadel0.192.7%1st Place
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8.08Hampton University0.723.1%1st Place
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5.88North Carolina State University1.128.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Owen Bannasch | 18.4% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
Steven Hardee | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
Jordan Vieira | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
Diogo Silva | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Hilton Kamps | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 19.0% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Joshua Bendura | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 10.3% |
Kenneth Buck | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 29.4% |
Stefano Palamara | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 26.1% |
Benjamin Usher | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.