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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.99+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.34+3.97vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.02+1.56vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.62-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.34+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.79-3.98vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.70-2.84vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.28-2.95vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.40-2.64vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-1.65-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
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4.56Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.33Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Victoria0.340.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Victoria1.790.3%1st Place
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5.16University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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6.05University of British Columbia0.280.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Reeves | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Aaron Scull | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 3.7% |
| Alex Waldron | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Vincent | 20.7% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Evan Medsger | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 4.4% |
| Robert Berry | 26.0% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elisha Allen | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Sean Fleming | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Maritz | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 27.7% | 15.4% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 13.9% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.