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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Reeves 13.0% 13.2% 13.2% 11.8% 12.8% 11.7% 10.8% 8.5% 4.1% 0.9%
Aaron Scull 6.3% 5.4% 8.1% 9.7% 10.0% 12.0% 15.0% 15.2% 14.6% 3.7%
Alex Waldron 12.6% 11.6% 12.0% 12.6% 13.5% 15.4% 10.5% 7.0% 3.9% 0.9%
Ashley Vincent 20.7% 20.6% 17.3% 14.9% 11.6% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Evan Medsger 6.6% 6.8% 7.2% 9.5% 11.7% 10.6% 13.3% 17.1% 12.8% 4.4%
Robert Berry 26.0% 21.7% 17.5% 14.1% 8.7% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Elisha Allen 6.7% 9.4% 11.8% 11.6% 13.9% 14.2% 13.8% 11.5% 5.3% 1.8%
Sean Fleming 4.9% 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 9.7% 12.1% 13.7% 15.6% 16.0% 4.0%
Samuel Maritz 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 7.5% 10.9% 17.4% 27.7% 15.4%
Kyle Kubler 0.8% 1.2% 0.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 4.1% 4.5% 13.9% 68.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.