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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+2.86vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+3.85vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+1.73vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10-0.05vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.12+0.94vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.41+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.64-2.02vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.72+0.11vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73-2.36vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.87-3.40vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86College of Charleston2.0718.6%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College1.177.3%1st Place
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4.73Old Dominion University1.5912.2%1st Place
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3.95Jacksonville University2.1019.4%1st Place
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5.94North Carolina State University1.128.2%1st Place
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7.15Rollins College0.414.5%1st Place
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4.98University of Miami1.6411.5%1st Place
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8.11Hampton University0.723.4%1st Place
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6.64Christopher Newport University0.735.9%1st Place
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6.6Clemson University0.875.8%1st Place
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8.21The Citadel0.193.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Jonnie Ciffolillo | 18.6% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Jordan Vieira | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
Diogo Silva | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Owen Bannasch | 19.4% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Benjamin Usher | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
Hilton Kamps | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 11.6% |
Steven Hardee | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Stefano Palamara | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 28.2% |
Joshua Bendura | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 7.8% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.