← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.39+10.68vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University3.21+2.85vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.39+4.75vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.51vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+3.57vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.51+5.13vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.49+0.16vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.45+3.23vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.62-2.33vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.50-2.60vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.82vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.39-0.17vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University1.42-1.78vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University2.93-8.53vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-2.55vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.78-2.20vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University1.63-6.31vs Predicted
-
18Christopher Newport University1.11-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.68Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
-
4.85George Washington University3.210.1%1st Place
-
7.75George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
-
10.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.13Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
7.16U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
11.23Old Dominion University1.450.0%1st Place
-
6.67Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
-
7.4U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.18U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
11.83George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
11.22Georgetown University1.420.0%1st Place
-
5.47Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
12.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
-
13.8Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
-
10.69Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.4Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Robertson | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% |
| Marshall McCraw | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Gray Benson | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Frank Frisinger | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Edward Cook | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Alexander Mazzeo | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Scott Mais | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% |
| Luke Hayes | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 25.2% |
| Brian Fox | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Daniel Hodges | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.