← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.69+4.89vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.39+4.88vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.35+11.65vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.04vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.68+4.48vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.35+4.89vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.90vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.64vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.38-2.36vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.29vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University2.31+0.19vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.23vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.63-3.40vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.18-2.75vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.93-2.51vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University3.81-10.66vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University1.89-4.16vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University2.82-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.89Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
6.88Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
14.65Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.04U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
9.48George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
-
10.89George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
12.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
8.64U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
6.64Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
-
11.19Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
-
7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.6George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
-
11.25Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
12.49Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
-
5.34Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
12.84Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
-
8.79Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Logue | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 34.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.7% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.