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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+3.85vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+2.73vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.87+3.65vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.07-0.09vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+2.05vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.17-0.18vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+1.42vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.72+0.09vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.10-5.05vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.73-3.34vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.12-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85University of Miami1.6413.2%1st Place
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4.73Old Dominion University1.5912.7%1st Place
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6.65Clemson University0.875.2%1st Place
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3.91College of Charleston2.0718.6%1st Place
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7.05Rollins College0.414.6%1st Place
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5.82Eckerd College1.177.5%1st Place
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8.42The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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8.09Hampton University0.723.0%1st Place
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3.95Jacksonville University2.1017.4%1st Place
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6.66Christopher Newport University0.736.2%1st Place
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5.89North Carolina State University1.128.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Steven Hardee | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
Diogo Silva | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 18.6% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Hilton Kamps | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 11.8% |
Jordan Vieira | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 31.8% |
Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 27.2% |
Owen Bannasch | 17.4% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Joshua Bendura | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
Benjamin Usher | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.