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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+10.19vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+4.91vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+8.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+1.61vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+0.24vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+6.98vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39-0.32vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.69vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68+0.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.30-2.73vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.63-1.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.85vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.89-0.50vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.93-1.77vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.35-0.54vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-7.44vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-7.87vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.18-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.19Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.08George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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5.61Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.24Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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12.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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6.68Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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12.5Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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12.23Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.46Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.36Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| JC Hermus | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 15.8% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 16.6% |
| William Logue | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 31.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.