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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.64vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+3.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.30+4.22vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+2.71vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.69+0.64vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.68vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35+2.82vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.63+0.70vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.38-3.03vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.68-1.26vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.31-0.61vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35+1.31vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.93-1.83vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.89-2.38vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.95vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-7.88vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.18-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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5.36Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.71Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.64Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.82George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.97Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.74George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.39Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.31Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.17Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.62Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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13.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.35Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Logue | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 12.0% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 32.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 16.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.