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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.95vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+2.38vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38+2.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30+1.09vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.63+2.79vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-2.41vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.60vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35+4.60vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-1.89vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.31-0.62vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.16vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.89-1.67vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.68-5.52vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.35-5.01vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.93-4.33vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.18-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.95Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.7Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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5.59Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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14.6Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.38Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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12.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.33Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.67Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| William Logue | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| JC Hermus | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 34.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% |
| Matt Logue | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.