← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota1.57+0.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.84+0.88vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota-1.11+2.59vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.49-0.62vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.47-1.60vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota-2.00+0.69vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-0.85-1.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Nebraska Lincoln-2.08-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.99University of Minnesota1.570.5%1st Place
-
2.88University of Wisconsin0.840.2%1st Place
-
5.59University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
-
3.38Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
3.4University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
-
6.69University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
-
5.31University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
-
6.78University of Nebraska Lincoln-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 45.3% | 27.4% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Kelly | 19.2% | 25.5% | 22.2% | 19.0% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Victor Nartovich | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 23.9% | 11.6% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 13.7% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 15.3% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Sauer | 13.5% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 26.9% | 38.9% |
| Jack Rickman | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 24.0% | 24.6% | 16.2% | 9.2% |
| Chase Blum | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 15.4% | 29.8% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.