← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota1.57+0.97vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.47+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University0.49+0.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin0.84-1.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-0.85+0.29vs Predicted
-
6University of Nebraska Lincoln-2.08+0.79vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-1.11-1.34vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota-2.00-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.97University of Minnesota1.570.5%1st Place
-
3.42University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
-
3.33Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
2.9University of Wisconsin0.840.2%1st Place
-
5.29University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
-
6.79University of Nebraska Lincoln-2.080.0%1st Place
-
5.66University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.66University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 45.0% | 28.3% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sauer | 12.7% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 23.4% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 14.5% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Kelly | 19.9% | 23.3% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Rickman | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 23.0% | 26.3% | 17.4% | 7.1% |
| Chase Blum | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 43.8% |
| Victor Nartovich | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 25.0% | 22.5% | 13.3% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 16.6% | 30.9% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.