← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota1.57+1.01vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.84+0.89vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota-0.85+2.19vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota-1.11+1.64vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.47-1.60vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.49-2.66vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-2.00-0.25vs Predicted
-
8University of Nebraska Lincoln-2.08-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.01University of Minnesota1.570.4%1st Place
-
2.89University of Wisconsin0.840.2%1st Place
-
5.19University of Minnesota-0.850.0%1st Place
-
5.64University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
-
3.4University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
-
3.34Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
6.75University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
-
6.79University of Nebraska Lincoln-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 44.7% | 27.0% | 16.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Kelly | 19.4% | 25.4% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rickman | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 21.1% | 26.1% | 17.5% | 6.0% |
| Victor Nartovich | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 18.4% | 25.6% | 23.6% | 11.1% |
| Peter Sauer | 13.1% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 22.5% | 15.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 14.1% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 24.1% | 15.5% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 27.7% | 41.3% |
| Chase Blum | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 16.3% | 27.6% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.