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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+2.88vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+2.82vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.17+2.84vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+3.14vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.12+0.84vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10-2.08vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72+1.07vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.87-1.38vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.64-5.10vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88College of Charleston2.0719.4%1st Place
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4.82Old Dominion University1.5912.3%1st Place
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5.84Eckerd College1.178.3%1st Place
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7.14Rollins College0.415.5%1st Place
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5.84North Carolina State University1.127.6%1st Place
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3.92Jacksonville University2.1019.1%1st Place
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8.07Hampton University0.722.5%1st Place
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6.62Clemson University0.875.2%1st Place
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6.71Christopher Newport University0.736.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Miami1.6411.2%1st Place
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8.26The Citadel0.192.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Jonnie Ciffolillo | 19.4% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Diogo Silva | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Jordan Vieira | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
Hilton Kamps | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% |
Benjamin Usher | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
Owen Bannasch | 19.1% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Stefano Palamara | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 26.2% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
Joshua Bendura | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.1% |
Steven Hardee | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Kenneth Buck | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.