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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.11+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.16+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.85-0.51vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.11+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.03-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.21-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.89-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Nebraska Lincoln-1.25-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of Wisconsin-0.110.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.49University of Wisconsin0.850.3%1st Place
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5.87Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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3.91University of Minnesota-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Minnesota-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Minnesota-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Nebraska Lincoln-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Barnes | 13.5% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Clara Brown | 12.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Ella Reinemann | 35.0% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Etain McKinney | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 21.5% | 28.5% |
| Kendall Van Horne | 11.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Erin Bouton | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Carly Wilfahrt | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 21.4% |
| Lucas Keester | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.