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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+9.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+7.43vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+8.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.23vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.06+4.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-0.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.75+3.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06+1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.11vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-4.09vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.81-1.10vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-3.30vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.12-5.30vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.67-0.64vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-6.28vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.82-3.07vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.72-3.62vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-11.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.83Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.37Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.06Boston University3.060.0%1st Place
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5.38Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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10.29Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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5.91Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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13.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.36Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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13.93Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.38Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Mack Fox | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Morrell | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matt Safford | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 25.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 19.3% |
| Matt Hersey | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 21.5% |
| Emily Haig | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.