← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+3.03vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.59+2.82vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.64+1.86vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.12+1.93vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.41+2.10vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University0.87+0.75vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.73-0.33vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.17-2.17vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.14-5.40vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.19-1.69vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University0.72-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.03Jacksonville University2.1016.7%1st Place
-
4.82Old Dominion University1.5912.5%1st Place
-
4.86University of Miami1.6412.2%1st Place
-
5.93North Carolina State University1.127.6%1st Place
-
7.1Rollins College0.414.9%1st Place
-
6.75Clemson University0.875.1%1st Place
-
6.67Christopher Newport University0.735.7%1st Place
-
5.83Eckerd College1.178.8%1st Place
-
3.6College of Charleston2.1420.6%1st Place
-
8.31The Citadel0.192.8%1st Place
-
8.11Hampton University0.723.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Owen Bannasch | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Diogo Silva | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
Steven Hardee | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
Benjamin Usher | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
Hilton Kamps | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 12.4% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 7.9% |
Joshua Bendura | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% |
Jordan Vieira | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
Harrison Thomson | 20.6% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 30.4% |
Stefano Palamara | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.