← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+7.51vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.48+6.51vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University4.51+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.29+4.94vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.67+2.51vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College3.68+1.52vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.39vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.79-0.93vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.22+0.28vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.86+1.01vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida3.29-1.82vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.97vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University2.16+0.15vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-5.86vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University1.60-0.04vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.90-5.37vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan1.32-1.32vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University3.39-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.51Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
-
4.73Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
-
8.94Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
7.51Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.52Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
6.61University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
7.07Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.28College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
-
11.01University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
9.18University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.03U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
13.15Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
8.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
14.96Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.63Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
15.68University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.53Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 12.6% |
| Kelly Crane | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 30.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 19.0% | 44.5% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.