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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+10.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+6.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+4.70vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.06+1.84vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-1.66vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-0.38vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-2.15vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-1.20vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-1.70vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-3.29vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-4.52vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.75-4.94vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-2.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.19vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.67-3.45vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.72-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.29Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.46Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.84Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.34Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.3Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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13.96Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.55Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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14.03Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Emily Haig | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Matt Safford | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 18.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 24.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.